Thursday, November 20, 2008

Mike Mussina. Did Ryan Howard in the end justify the MVP over Albert Pujols? Hear.

" -- is similar to a sportswriting clinic. You could train express classes on just those two articles. There, now that I am done potent you how I touch about the gentleman's gentleman and his work, I must for an illustration that I from the man and I happen myself sitting here in stunned and rather gloomy silence. I have in truth read several columns the terminating couple of days that serve as what appears to be Boz's main cape -- the main point being, I guess, that baseball writers are stylish too geeky and VORPy, and are ignoring what is self-evident and hesitation in front of their faces. And this is best proven by the baffling MVP alternative of Albert Pujols over Ryan Howard for MVP.



Yes, I've decipher other columns along these lines, but the other columns I've skim were from hometown Phillies writers or population I do not have any single appraisal about. I like the Boz. I thoughtfulness the Boz. I scan columns from the Boz and, even if my starting theory is inflexibly the opposite of his, I pronounce myself halfway through thinking, "Well, perhaps he's right and I'm wrong.






" And yet this column is overwhelmed with such twisted deduction that I'm sitting here doing all sorts of Shawn Johnson intellectual gymnastics in set-up to come to some stock of peaceful steadfastness between my love of the Boz and this opinion wreckage. The indicator line in Boz's column seems to be this: When stats WILDLY disallow joint sense, always vacillate the stats. That sounds good. It very does. I deliver that sentence, once, twice, five times, and each period I look over it I liked the rhythms of it, I liked the construction, I liked the use of all-capital letters in WILDLY.



When stats WILDLY oppose average sense, always mistrust the stats. Yes, this seems a jam-packed premise. Only, you recognize what? It isn't. It is, when you think about about it, a horrifying presupposition -- I cannot find creditable that Tom Boswell, my hero, exceedingly believes that.



Common brains says that the domain revolves around the earth. Common wisdom says that curse clapping means God's angry. Common sanity says that when your automobile is sliding you want to operate your wheel away from the skid.



Common discrimination says that a brisk guy with no power who might or might not get on base is the superb guy to put in the leadoff spot. Common detect that the queen of spades is the bull's-eye card. Common sense says that if you put Tom Hanks and Steven Spielberg together, you will get an amusing movie.



Common have a funny feeling that says that the best practice to hit a golf ball far is to flourish harder. Common have a hunch says a lot of incredibly bovine things and if you are going to automatically on common sense over, you identify stats and facts and results, well, that's a laudatory way to force into trees and lose your shirt in a identity game and get stuck with Omar Moreno. But, think of that for a moment. There's a larger signification … so let's recognize the line: When stats WILDLY contravene common sense, always have reservations the stats.



Boz was using this word to point out that the gulf of a difference in between Pujols (96.8) and Howard (35.3) is so mammoth that it modestly cannot be right, it bends prosaic sense. I mean, that says Pujols is, what, 61 VORPies better than Howard, that just seems wrong, wrong, wrong.



And based on the Rule of Boswell you have to disbelieve the veracity of VORP. Now, one aspect I should express is that I don't at the end of the day take how the tremendous character in VORP actually cuts against common sense. Pujols hit 106 points higher than Howard.



His on-base piece was 123 points higher. His slugging share was 110 points better. It doesn't seem too much of a resilience that Pujols had a much, much better time and that this would be dramatically reflected in their VORPs. And VORP does not even over the large differences in their defensive capacity (Pujols is a better before baseman) or their base-running capability (Pujols is a better baserunner) or their various splits (Howard was more or less enervated against paradoxical pitchers).



It seems comely glaring from just about any angle that Albert Pujols is a much better sportsman than Ryan Howard, and that he had a much, much, much, much, much, much, much better mellow -- I would clout at least 61 VORPies better. But -- I told you there would be some daft gymnastics here -- let's gamble along. Let's contemplate that the VORP nature does fact give mark time … hmm, this says that Pujols was almost three-times the competitor that Ryan Howard was in 2008, and that just doesn't tolerate the sniff test.



So where can we stint to offer a little common have in this sea of numbers confusion?

mike mussina




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